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AI could predict risk of lung cancer coming back

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by Cancer Research UK | News

27 May 2020

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Lung cancer cells

Computer scientists working with pathologists have trained an artificial intelligence (AI) tool to determine which patients with lung cancer have a higher risk of their disease coming back after treatment, as part of Cancer Research UK’s landmark TRACERx study.

“TRACERx is the biggest single investment we’ve ever made in a lung cancer research programme, and is a massive strategic focus for Cancer Research UK. The breakthroughs we’re seeing through TRACERx are only just the beginning, and I look forward to seeing a brighter future for people with lung cancer thanks to our investment.” Michelle Mitchell, chief executive of Cancer Research UK

The AI tool was able to differentiate between immune cells and cancer cells, enabling researchers to build a detailed picture of how lung cancers evolve in response to the immune system in individual patients.

Although this research is in its early stages, this ground-breaking approach could speed up how doctors can predict which patients are more likely to see their lung cancer return, so they can be closely monitored with tailored treatment plans.

The new AI tool – developed by researchers at The Institute of Cancer Research, London, in collaboration with scientists at University College London Cancer Institute and the Francis Crick Institute – was trained by pathologists to pick out immune cells from cancer cells. This allowed the tool to map out areas in tumours where the number of immune cells were high compared to the number of cancer cells, in patients with lung cancer.

Using the AI tool, the team found that while some parts of the tumour were packed with immune cells, described as ‘hot’ regions, other parts of the tumour appeared to be completely devoid of them, which they described as ‘cold’ regions.

When the researchers followed the progress of patients who had a higher number of ‘cold’ regions, they found patients were at a higher risk of relapse.

This study is part of the TRACERx* (Tracking Cancer Evolution through therapy [Rx]) lung study – a £14 million, 9-year study funded by Cancer Research UK.

The paper was published in Nature Medicine today (Wednesday) and is showcased alongside 8 other TRACERx publications on the Nature website.  

In this new study, led by Dr Yinyin Yuan from The Institute of Cancer Research (ICR) alongside researchers from the UCL Cancer Institute and the Francis Crick Institute, AI pathology image-mapping technology was combined with next-generation sequencing. They used this tool to analyse samples from 100 patients with non-small cell lung cancer who took part in the TRACERx study.

Comparing immune hot or cold areas within the same tumour, the team assessed the extent to which their genetic make-up differed, giving them clues as to how they had changed in response to evolutionary pressures.

The team’s work revealed that cancer cells found in immune cold regions may have evolved more recently than cancer cells found in immune hot regions that are packed with immune cells.

The researchers suggest that areas of the tumour with fewer immune cells may have developed a ‘cloaking’ mechanism under evolutionary pressure from the immune system allowing them to hide from the body’s natural defences.

Their AI tool can assess how many regions with this cloaking mechanism exist within a tumour – which is critical given that these immune cold areas are associated with cancer relapses.

This early research could, in the future be used in the clinic to give doctors more detailed information about the cellular make-up of tumours than can be seen with the naked eye, informing the development of tailored treatment strategies for individual patients.

Dr Yinyin Yuan, Team Leader in Computational Pathology at The Institute of Cancer Research, London, said: “In our new study, we applied artificial intelligence to genetic data and pathology images, to create a new tool that could in the future help pick out those patients with lung cancer who are at highest risk of their cancer coming back.

“We’ve gained new insight into how lung cancers can cloak themselves to escape the attention of the immune system – and in doing so can continue to evolve and develop. Cancer’s ability to evolve and to come back after treatment is one of the biggest challenges facing cancer researchers and doctors today.

“Our research has revealed fresh insights into why some lung cancers are so difficult to treat, and we wouldn’t have been able to do this without the scale and scope of the TRACERx project.”

TRACERx is Cancer Research UK’s single biggest investment in lung cancer, revealing incredible insights into how tumours evolve and evade treatment, a leading cause of cancer death. 

More than 5 years into the 9-year study, some tantalising glimpses have been revealed into how TRACERx will transform the way we diagnose and treat lung cancer, including:

  • Researchers can now predict whose lung cancer comes back after surgery by detecting tumour DNA in the blood, pinpointing the people who will need additional chemotherapy to help prevent relapse. This test will now be validated in clinical trials.
  • Researchers are developing better tests that use machine learning to predict clinical outcomes at the point of diagnosis using biopsies, which traditionally have been underused due to the genetic diversity of lung cancer.
  • Although lung cancer can escape the immune system, certain T cells are still able to spot mutations present in every lung cancer cell in an individual’s tumour, opening up the possibility that specific groups of T cells from patients could be isolated and adapted to help treat their tumour more effectively.
  • Some lung cancer cells double their genome, particularly in those with lung cancer who have a history of smoking, which is not seen in healthy cells. This could lead to new targeted treatments that would leave healthy cells relatively untouched.
  • Different regions of a lung tumour evolve separately, creating a myriad of different tumour characteristics, which are reflected in different levels of immune activity. Mapping out immune hot and cold areas using artificial intelligence gives a new way to look at tumours and could allow doctors to predict how well a patient will respond to certain treatments, and even help personalise care.

Professor Charles Swanton, Cancer Research UK’s chief clinician who leads the TRACERx initiative, said: “Much like the finches Darwin described in the Galapagos islands, cancer cells also grow and evolve in response to their unique surroundings, weeding out the weak to let the strongest survive. This unstoppable force of nature means curing cancer after it has spread is a difficult task and helps us understand how tumours develop resistance to even the most advanced and powerful treatments we have.

“Focusing on the intricacies of the tumour alone isn’t enough, we need to explore the environment that each tumour is growing in and to understand its influences. TRACERx has given us the platform to explore this in exceptional detail and has shown us that multiple approaches at different stages of the disease are needed to outwit cancer.”

Dr Mariam Jamal-Hanjani, senior clinical lecturer and consultant medical oncologist at UCL Cancer Institute, who has worked on TRACERx since its inception, said: “Unfortunately, lung cancer survival remains among the lowest of all cancer types despite new treatment options for patients. This can be due to lung cancer cells evolving, becoming resistant to treatment causing the disease to return or worsen.

“TRACERx is enabling us to map the evolution of lung cancer from diagnosis to cure after surgery or death, and is already revealing how we can offer patients better care and treatment. Not only have we found new ways to predict treatment response and outcome, but we can now detect when lung cancer has returned before it is seen on a scan. And new cutting-edge treatments that use a patient’s own immune cells that have been reprogrammed to target lung cancer cells could become a reality.”

Michelle Mitchell, chief executive of Cancer Research UK, said: “TRACERx is the biggest single investment we’ve ever made in a lung cancer research programme, and is a massive strategic focus for Cancer Research UK. The breakthroughs we’re seeing through TRACERx are only just the beginning, and I look forward to seeing a brighter future for people with lung cancer thanks to our investment.”